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ADP Says U.S. Companies Increased Payrolls by 9,000

Companies in the U.S. unexpectedly added an estimated 9,000 jobs in July, a private report based on payroll data showed today.

The increase followed a revised drop of 77,000 for the prior month that was smaller than previously estimated, ADP Employer Services said.

The ADP data aren't necessarily a guide to the Labor Department's numbers to be published Aug. 1. Four of the six previous ADP reports showed an increase in employment; all six of the government's estimates showed the workforce contracted. Private payrolls dropped by an average 94,000 a month from January through June, according to official figures, while ADP showed gains of almost 11,000 on average.

“The trend is toward lower jobs,'' Roger Kubarych, chief U.S. economist at UniCredit Global Research, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in New York. “There is still contraction in construction jobs and manufacturing jobs, offset to a great extent, but not entirely, by the services sector and the government.'' ADP has “been overestimating'' private payroll figures “for many months now,'' he said.

The ADP report was forecast to show a decline of 60,000 jobs, after a drop of 79,000 previously estimated for June, according to the median projection of 29 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from decreases of 115,000 to 4,000.

Market Reaction

Stocks rose and Treasury securities fell after the report. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.2 percent to 1,278.61 as of 10:30 a.m. in New York. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note increased to 4.10 percent from 4.04 percent late yesterday.

ADP includes only private employment and does not take into account hiring by government agencies. Macroeconomic Advisers LLC in St. Louis produces the report jointly with ADP.

“Employers are being extremely cautious about expanding payrolls,'' Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomic Advisors, said in a telephone interview today. “In sectors where there were excesses in payrolls, we're still working those off.''

The ADP figures come ahead of the government's Aug. 1 report, which may show total payrolls fell by 75,000 in July, the seventh consecutive month of job losses, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey pay day loans low fee cash advance. The unemployment rate probably increased to 5.6 percent.

Less Hiring

The extended housing slump, record fuel prices and crisis in credit markets have weakened demand, prompting employers to cut staff.

Today's ADP report showed a decrease of 65,000 jobs in goods-producing industries including manufacturers and construction companies. Service providers added 74,000 workers. Employment in construction fell by 16,000 and financial firms increased jobs by 4,000.

Companies employing more than 499 workers shrank their workforce by 32,000 jobs. Medium-sized businesses, with 50 to 499 employees, cut 9,000 jobs and small companies increased payrolls by 50,000.

The ADP report is based on data from 399,000 businesses with about 24 million workers on payrolls.

Further softening in the job market adds to concern that consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy, will retrench. Recent reports indicate the boost from the government's tax rebates may be starting to fade.

Credit Crunch

Concerns about the credit crunch have roiled U.S. households, outweighing worries about surging consumer prices, said Larry Kantor, head of research at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York.

“When people are focused on the financial distress, these worries about inflation go to the sidelines,'' Kantor said yesterday in an interview with Bloomberg Radio. Over the next three to six months, `that's going to be the main issue.''

Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated, the second-biggest U.S. Coke bottler, is among companies cutting staff to offset a surge in the cost of energy and raw materials. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based company said on July 18 it will eliminate 350 positions, about 5 percent of its workforce.

ADP began keeping records in January 2001 and started publishing its numbers in 2006.

Source

Dieser Beitrag wurde am Thursday, 31. July 2008 um 04:57 Uhr veröffentlicht und wurde unter der Kategorie economics abgelegt. Du kannst die Kommentare zu diesen Eintrag durch den RSS-Feed verfolgen.

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